What’s Up With Michigan?

Minus one recent Rasmussen poll, things have looked pretty tight there. we aren’t going to go over all of them – if you found this obscure corner of the WWW, then you have seen them. So is this a mirage?

We don’t buy that Romney kind of being from Michigan is helping him. You also wouldn’t think that his comments about letting GM go bankrupt is really helpful. So what gives?

Probably not as true as it used to be, but there is an old theory that says Michigan is one of the few states that actually see Republicans do better in polls in the summer months than Democrats (typically, this is reversed a little bit). Why? Because all the union people in Michigan are using a lot of their 280 days of yearly vacation in the summer. Not as many union households there as there used to be, but they are still there. And they probably still like to vacation.

Not sure if this is the explanation or not, but the bottom line is that the best case scenario for Romney is to make Obama spend resources there. It’s really hard to envison that Micgihan will decide the race…..if Romney wins gets to 270, Michigan is going to be a bonus on a great night.

Our best guess says that Obama is up a few there, and probably will remain that way as the union workers return home from wherever they went and that is countered by the folks not paying attention starting to tune in.

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