Archive for January 2012

A Plea

January 14, 2012

We really want the domain “RedStateOhio.com.” Now that Kevin Coughlin “dropped out” of the GOP primary against Josh Mandel, whoever runs it should drop the charade that it was a real blog and not a Coughlin front (site not updated since Coughlin pulled out of race in Nov. 2011) and transfer the domain to us. It would be for the benefit of the whole party.

Summary: Stop wasting the name RedStateOhio on a fake blog that doesn’t even operate anymore. Contact us at redohio2012{at}gmail{dot}com and we can work out arrangements – we also want the video of the goofy looking Mandel supporting Al Gore. Now that’s funny – and surprising that it hasn’t gotten more play.

Treasury Games

January 14, 2012

Dispatch: Federal government, consider this your year-end bonus from Rep. Steve Stivers.

Stivers, R-Upper Arlington, announced last week that he is returning $100,000 from his congressional office budget to the federal treasury. He also returns $700 from each paycheck to pay down the national debt. Finally, he cut his office budget by five percent at the beginning of 2011.

Stivers is not the only lawmaker to cut a check to the government at the end of this year: Politico reported this week that Tea Party Sen. Rand Paul is returning $500,000 to the U.S. Treasury from his own Senate office budget.

Stivers campaigned in part on a platform to reduce government spending. In a statement announcing the returned money, he said Congress must learn to do “more with less.”

Two separate issues here.

Let’s start with a compliment. When you are giving your own money back out of your own check to pay down the national debt, then props need to be given out. It’s easy to give back other people’s money, but when it is your own, then you get credit. Though the way Obama is spending, we’d all need to give back about 95% our paycheck for 2,000 years to make a dent. But it’s better than nothing and it actually affects him.

The second gesture – returning congressional office money to the Treasury – is hollow. Expect to see quite a few of these releases over the next couple weeks from various House offices. The “returned” money just gets spent elsewhere or by the House at a later date, so isn’t really “returned” at all. Plus if you think about it, is anyone going to see that and think “you know, I am a major liberal and supporter of Democrats, but I see this Stivers fellow is returning some money to the Treasury. He has my vote.” No. That is not going to happen. Anyone that sees it and appreicates already is voting for him. Most folks won’t see it at all.

But on the flip side, he could have just wasted it on stuff his office didn’t need, like new fax machines and staff bonuses, so maybe he should get a few points.

So, in a Politifact kind of way, we rate Stivers as 1.5 for 2.  But due to his pretty safe congressional seat, probably doesn’t matter regardless.

South Carolina Preview

January 12, 2012

With the South Carolina primary fast approaching, the quest comntiues to find the “anti-Romney.” With that in mind…

Nothing. It’s over. Like it or not. You might be able to say “well, only a handful of delegates have been awarded!” True. But, who (or is it whom???) is going to leapfrog Romney and how are they going to do it?

Ron Paul has about a .36% chance because of his supporters, but if that is alternative you are looking for for the general, well, we don’t know what to tell you.

On a semi-related note, Mitt will be the keynote speaker at the Cuyahoga County Lincoln Day Dinner. What? Isn’t Joe the Plumber running in the new 9th?

McGee Brown Running For Reelection

January 10, 2012

Of course she is, but wonder what her chances are.

She is the only true Democrat on the Court, appointed by outgoing Gov. Strickland at the end of 2010 after Ted was unable to stumble across the finish line with a victory. One can’t really draw from those results as far as 2012 for McGee Brown goes – it was totally a Kasich v. Strickland affair.

Brown will face Sharon Kennedy, a domestic relations judge from Butler Co. If you spent any time on the Republican dinner/meeting/event circuit last year, you know Kennedy was literally everywhere trying to drum up support for her cause, which she ultimately received by getting the ORP endorsement.

Got to think Democrats really want to keep this seat, but how much will they spend to keep it? And of course, how much will the GOP be willing to spend on it. Part of us thinks they’ll spend what they think they need to so they can keep a foothold in the court, the other half of us thinks they won’t drain resources into winning a seat when regardless of the outcome they’ll still be a minority.

Obviously this race is nowhere near important as the state central committee overthrow races are, as you’ll see by the money that is going to be and has been spent for the Kasich & Co. coup attempt.

But we have two popular and common ballot last names: Brown and Kennedy.

Never Too Early (?)

January 6, 2012

All the Richard Cordray in the news got us thinking. Cordray has long been known to have both eyes firmly on the job of Ohio Governor. So, for argument’s sake, let’s say he has a nice long tenure in his recently acquired position. Who does that leave on the Democratic side to run against John Kasich in 2014 (assuming he runs again)?

The election, of course, is way off, but Kasich isn’t exactly making friends with Democrats, Independents, or Republicans. So if he finds himself in the same weak position now in late 2013 / early 2014, who might run against him? You’d have to think Democrats would fight one another for the opportunity.

Here is the list we came up with, assuming Cordray is out; feel free to add any additional names.

Ted Strickland: The former governor hasn’t exactly put to rest the rumors he wants a rematch, and if he does, he would probably be a frontrunner. That said, we don’t buy he would seriously run – his age coupled with the fact that he wouldn’t want to risk a second loss probably would keep him out. Feels like bluster.

Tim Ryan: Probably as of now the one to keep your eye on. If Ted doesn’t run, Ryan likely has his backing. They have a long history, and rumors say Ryan is seriously pondering the option. Ryan has baggage (who doesn’t) but would likely be a strong candidate. If you ask “those in the know,” he is the answer you will get.

Mike Coleman: Always a name brought up in these discussions. The Columbus Mayor wanted the nomination in 2006, but was pushed / stepped aside for Strickland. You might believe he passed on running in the newly created Dem district in Columbus because he wants this. He also now no longer has his ex-wife and her issues trailing him.

Jimmy Dimora: Pending the result of his corruption trial……..

John Boccieri: Says he only wants to be in Congress, but not sure who turns down being a gubentorial nominee. Problem for him is that he voted for health care, cap and trade, and the stimulus. Those votes never go away.

David Pepper: The 2010 loser in the auditor’s race might put up a bunch of money and make some noise.

That’s off the top of our head. Probably more, but looks like a good first list.

Romney, McCain, and Electability

January 3, 2012

We are starting to hear the “nominating McCain didn’t work out, so why go with Romney” theme develop in some circles. To us, that is nothing but a talking point that only works if elections are conducted in vacuums with no other factors at play. Of course, in real elections, that is the case. Other stuff matters that just the candidate.

We aren’t endorsing anyone at this point, as if anyone cares, but there are quite a few differences between the two, their campaigns, and the circumstances.

1. While it is true that Romney over time has not been the most conservative, he has not taken pleasure and/or intentionally jabbed his finger in the eyes of conservatives. McCain seems to get a kick out of it. Didn’t play well.

2. Romney isn’t running in an election of “Bush Fatigue,” whereas McCain was. Not a defense of McCain, but 2008 going in was going to be a very tough election to win no matter what for the GOP. Obviously his uneven performance didn’t help matters.

3. Not only was 2008 a tough year for the GOP, but once the stock market crashed, it didn’t matter anymore. There was nothing that McCain could have done.  May or may not happen again (largely depending on Europe) but this time it won’t be to the detriment of the Republican candidate.

4. Democrats, after 8 years of power in 2008, were fired up and wanted “change.” Now, the other side wants change – probably more than the Democrats did in either 2004 or 2008. 

5. Simply, the Obama mystique has worn off. That isn’t to say he won’t win, but now he has a record other than voting present in Illinois and he isn’t a blank slate that voters can turn into whatever they want to see. 

Romney, as it turned out, was politically fortunate to have lost the nomination in 2008. Can’t say for sure – and we don’t think he would have fared as poorly as McCain did, but he wouldn’t have won the general. Now he finds himself the frontrunner for the nomination against an extremely vulnerable president.

We shall see what happens tonight, but regardless, it doesn’t change the difference between the two and the circumstances.